220792_INSIGHT - Lebanon - UNIFIL source on HZ stockpiles - ME1

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INSIGHT - Lebanon - UNIFIL source on HZ stockpiles - ME1
Date 2008-11-21 18:15:06
From reva.bhalla@stratfor.com
To analysts@stratfor.com
Others InReplyTo: 4926D862.9080805@stratfor.com
Text
PUBLICATION: Yes
ATTRIBUTION: UNIFIL source in Lebanon
SOURCE DESCRIPTION: UNIFIL source from Finn-Irish Battalion thru ME1
SOURCE RELIABILITY: B
ITEM CREDIBILITY: 2
SUGGESTED DISTRIBUTION: analysts
SPECIAL HANDLING: n/a

My source says UNIFIL has been placed on high alert, and are currently
conducting joint patrols with the Lebanese army in the areas of UNIFIL
operations in the deep south. UNIFIL believes Hizbullah is replacing its
ammunition stockpiles in southern Lebanon with fresh supplies. They are
also introducing additional short range rocket launchers. My source says
HZ has rebuilt its command and control centers in several locations near
the blue line. Relations between UNIFIL and HZ have recently deteriorated
after the former have obstructed the latter's efforts to move freely on,
and underneath, the Litani River bridges.

ME1 COMMENT: I usually spend Sundays in Sidon. UNIFIL sends replenishments
to its positions in the south via the coastal highway almost on a nightly
basis. I noticed that, during the past two weekends, the extent of UNIFIL
supplies has nearly doubled. I counted last Saturday night 78 trailers of
supplies. A month ago, the number of trailers I counted did not exceed 45.

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